In most midterm elections, an out-of-power party picking up, say, 14 seats in the House and five seats in the Senate could call it a pretty good night.Good lord. Such melodrama. Such lip-smacking, mouth-watering melodrama. My, grandmedia, what big teeth you have!
But for Democrats in 2006, that showing would mean coming up one seat shy of taking control of both the Senate and the House. And it would probably be branded a loss—in the case of the House, a big one.
...Some Democrats worry that those forecasts, accurate or not, may be setting the stage for a demoralizing election night, and one with lasting ramifications, sapping the party's spirit and energy heading into the 2008 presidential election cycle.
"Two years ago, winning 14 seats in the House would have been a pipe dream," said Matt Bennett, a founder of Third Way, a moderate Democratic organization. Now, Mr. Bennett said, failure to win the House, even by one seat, would send Democrats diving under their beds (not to mention what it might do to all the pundits).
"It would be crushing," he said. "It would be extremely difficult."
[Charlie] Cook put it more succinctly. "I think you’d see a Jim Jones situation—it would be a mass suicide," he said.
All the better to devour the Democrats, my dear.
It's almost impossible to imagine how unassailably crushing the Democrats' electoral victory would have to be to preclude the conclusion that, even if they win, they still really lost.
(Crossposted at AlterNet PEEK.)
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